Economics 101
Most of us have a savings account. Also, a checking account. Some savings accounts are of longer length, like certificates of deposit, IRAs, and money markets. Household budgets are a common feature, but not as common as they need to be.
Basically, we know where we are financially: in debt a lot,
or not; auto loans and mortgages are common debts for most families. Consumer
debt for major appliances, repairs or remodels are another frequent type of
loan. Of course, bank credit cards (VISA, Mastercard, for example) make up a
great amount of debt.
Calculating household income and including it in the budget
is something we do often, primarily with an eye toward what we want to happen
so we can buy a wanted thing, or travel to an exciting locale. Incomes are most
often not in our control. To get more we work more, have a second job, or
another family member gets a job and shares the dollars with the family budget.
Once our households were fueled by one earner (dad); today both spouses most
often hold down full-time jobs. Less often but growing, are households where
one worker holds down two jobs, a full-time one and a part-time job.
Naturally, we can invest in ourselves by gaining experience,
training or a college degree (bachelors, master’s or PhD). This investment
helps develop work into a career with more satisfaction and larger paychecks.
Such investment, however, costs plenty in time and money. It is not easy, and
the payback is not guaranteed.
The above few paragraphs are the basics of economics 101
based on household dollars and decisions. There is more to economics, however,
and here are a few of them: other households in your neighborhood, town, county
and state. Taken together in large or small groups creates regional markets.
These are economies of various scales and are made up of individuals and
households. Products and services supported by households provide the supply
and demand elements of a larger economic purpose and functioning. Our salaries
and wages are defined by such activities, as well as the prices individuals and
households pay for the goods and services they need to live routine lives. Our
individual decisions contribute to participation in many markets. Both personal
income and cost of living are results of that participation.
Most of these markets are not totally free. Other
authorities make decisions and policies that affect both the activity level and
pricing within the local economies. Those authorities include government
(municipal, county and state), industry giants with supply and pricing power, trade
associations which help small businesses compete with larger players, and the policies
and authority of the federal government and its agencies. We’ll leave international
market determinants for a later discussion.
All in all, supply and demand are not the sole determinants
of pricing and haven’t been for a long time. External influences ‘control’
pricing much more directly than ‘free marketers’ would like us to think. And the
power to have an effect is not all on federal regulations. Many factors control
economic results, and federal policies often fail dismally.
Making the economy function smoothly and successfully is the
aim of many policies by regulators. Efforts to do so, however, are very
complicated and often fail.
Those who think drilling for more oil now will lower gas
pump prices are in for a large shock. $2 gas is very unlikely. $1.99 for a
dozen eggs is also quite unlikely. Declaring short term interest rate
reductions by the Federal Reserve Bank does not necessarily lower mortgage
interest rates. The former are dropping, and the latter are currently rising.
The MAGA republicans are in for a lot of disappointment.
Tariffs do not work the way trump claims. And the result will be higher prices,
trade imbalances, and a rise in national debt, interest rates and related
pricing for goods and services. Just wait and see.
Most Americans wrongly believe they understand Economics. They
don’t. This is a lesson to be learned by many folks as the new White House takes
the reins of the economy. I shudder at the prospect of failures.
January 8, 2025
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